Free Picks: Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Patrick Trudeau
By: Patrick Trudeau
05/11/2021
MLB Free Picks – Best Bets of the Week
Athletics vs Red Sox Week 7
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox, MLB, Fenway Park

Oakland and Boston have had different starts to the season, but find themselves on top of their respective divisions. Tonight, the Red Sox play host to the Athletics for a three-game, mid-week set. These two powerhouses are near perfect, but I found one flaw that has me excited to wager on. Can Oakland take down the hometown Red Sox, or will Boston do work at Fenway?

It's top dog vs. top dog.

Approaching the middle of May, Oakland and Boston own the two best records in the American League, while also being two of four teams in the MLB with at least 20 wins. 

Tuesday night, the Red Sox and A’s begin a three-game set that is a proving ground for each ball club. 

For a game that features two top teams, I always look at starting pitching, betting value/return, and the weather. 

Chris Bassitt will get the start for the visiting A’s. This season, Bassitt is 2-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 43 strikeouts. The righty has racked up seven strikeouts in each of his last four starts. 

Opposite of Bassitt will be another RHP in Natha Eovaldi. Eovaldi is 4-2 with a 4.62 ERA and is 1-2 against Oakland in seven career starts with a 4.28 ERA. 

Turning to the weather, no precipitation is expected. The game will be rather chilly if attending in person, but tonight should be clear of any rainfall.

With that being said, there are a couple of wagers that catch my eye for this MLB prediction. I like the Red Sox to score first at +105, but Oakland hitting first has hesitated me. 

I think your best MLB bet will be taking the Red Sox on the Run Line. This season, Boston has a run differential of +33, while the A’s are -10. 

It’s clear that in previous losses, the A’s tend to lose by two or more runs. Of their 15 losses this season, 11 of them have been by more than 2 runs. This is perfect for the Run Line. 

With this bet, I am also saying that I think the Red Sox can win straight up. The Red Sox are 10-9 at home but have scored 103 runs in the process at Fenway. 

On the road, the A’s have tallied 50 runs throughout 8 games. That is a high number, but 22 of those runs came against teams like the D-Backs and Orioles.

I love the value and think Boston at home is pure money. Let’s roll with the Red Sox Run Line for this BetPicks Prediction.

10bet review
FREE PICK: Boston Run Line -1.5
+148

Stats

  • Oakland ranks 16th in road offense. 
  • The Red Sox rank 1st in runs scored at home. 
  • Boston is 21-15 against the spread this season.

have always wanted to be a writer and sports are my favorite thing in the world, so I combined the two to make a career. I have been a long-time gambler and sports betting writer that isn't afraid to look at the underdog or specials. I am covering the NHL, MLB and NCAA Football for BetPicks.ca and am a huge fan of both sports - as well as many others. Follow me on Twitter (@Patrick_Trudeau) so we can talk betting, sports, or why ketchup DOES belong on Poutine.

MLB - AL East

TeamWLGB%
NY Yankee61250.0.709
Boston474014.5.540
Tampa Bay464015.0.535
Toronto454216.5.517
Baltimore434418.5.494

 

MLB - AL Central

TeamWLGB%
Minnesota48400.0.545
Cleveland42424.0.500
Chi White Sox41445.5.482
Detroit365111.5.414
Kansas City345213.0.395

 

MLB - AL West

TeamWLGB%
Houston56290.0.659
Seattle454212.0.517
Texas404415.5.476
LA Angels384919.0.437
Oakland295928.5.330

 

MLB - NL East

TeamWLGB%
NY Mets54330.0.621
Atlanta52362.5.591
Philadelphia46418.0.529
Miami414412.0.482
Washington305824.5.341

 

MLB - NL Central

TeamWLGB%
Milwaukee48390.0.552
St. Louis47422.0.528
Pittsburgh375011.0.425
Chi Cubs345213.5.395
Cincinnati325415.5.372

 

MLB - NL West

TeamWLGB%
LA Dodgers56290.0.659
San Diego50387.5.568
San Francisco434112.5.512
Arizona384818.5.442
Colorado384919.0.437

 

2021 Season Key Dates
Regular SeasonApril 1 – October 3
MLB DraftJuly 11-13
All-Star GameJuly 13
Trade DeadlineJuly 30
Playoffs BeginOctober 5
World SeriesOctober 26