Free Picks: Gonzaga’s Pursuit of Perfection

Josh Saslove
By: Josh Saslove
03/28/2021
College Basketball Free Picks
Free Picks: Gonzaga’s Pursuit of Perfection
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Creighton Blue Jays, NCAAB, Hinkle Fieldhouse

The Oklahoma Sooners played a great game against Gonzaga and still lost by 16, the Bulldogs are an absolute unit. The Creighton Bluejays made a statement after punishing 13th seeded Ohio in the Round of 32, but the Sweet Sixteen will be the end of the road for this team. And it could get real ugly.

Gonzaga The Goliath

Gonzaga has won 23 games by 15 points or more this season and have been blowing opponents out all year. The Bulldogs are the cream of the crop and I do not see Creighton as the team that will challenge that distinction. The Zags average 92.1PPG by shooting 63.6% inside the arc and converting almost 8 threes a game while shooting 37.3% from downtown. Gonzaga is so efficient offensively because 48.3% of their field goal attempts are in the paint.

Off-ball movement/cuts, elite passing and speed, embody this Gonzaga offense. They are the closest thing to an NBA offense that college basketball has seen in a long time. Everyone can shoot/pass at a high level, they play fast and they create second chances constantly. The Dogs grab 30.7% of their possible offensive rebounds and force turnovers on 20% of their opponents’ possessions. Never taking a possession off, this is Mark Few’s best team ever and they are destined for great things.

NCAAB odds have set Gonzaga’s team total at 85.5, the Zags have scored 86 or more points in 23 of their 28 games this season. They have scored 98 and 87 in their first two games of the NCAA Tournament. Creighton plays at a quicker pace than Oklahoma and Norfolk State, so I can see Gonzaga easily breaking 90. One of my free picks is over 85.5 for Gonzaga (-116 at Bet10).

Marcus Zegarowski and Denzel Mahoney in particular have really struggled for Creighton against Top 50 competition this season. This is by far the best team Creighton has played all year, and the Blue Jays will need a herculean effort to be able to hang with Gonzaga. This team has not slipped up this year and I do not see that changing here. My BetPicks best bet is Gonzaga’s spread.

 

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FREE PICK: GONZAGA -13
-118

Stats

  • Gonzaga is 14-12-2 ATS as favourites this season
  • The Over has cashed in 15 of Gonzaga’s 28 games this season
  • Creighton is 2-1-0 ATS as underdogs this season
  • The Under has cashed in 17 of Creighton’s 30 games this season

Josh Saslove here, I am a passionate sports fan and have been consumed by sports for as long as I can remember. I have been a sports bettor for the past 4 years, starting out with betting on college basketball parlays. I currently write pieces for BetPicks, but have my own blog space. I am an avid fan of the Ottawa Senators, Toronto Raptors, Kansas City Chiefs and Toronto Blue Jays, so I know what it's like to cheer for the underdog. The 2017 ECF run by the Ottawa Senators and the Raptors 2019 NBA title are probably my fondest memories as a fan, as well of course the Chiefs Super Bowl win in 2020. I am also a big music fan and have been called Mac Miller by strangers on several occasions.

March Madness Schedule

Stage
Date & Time
Selection SundayMarch 14
First FourMarch 18
First roundMarch 19-20
Second roundMarch 21-22
Sweet 16March 27-28
Elite EightMarch 29-30
Final FourApril 3
Championship GameApril 5

Tournament History

Year
WinnerRunner-Up
2019VirginiaTexas Tech
2018VillanovaMichigan
2017North CarolinaGonzaga
2016VillanovaNorth Carolina
2015DukeWisconsin
2014ConnecticutKentucky
2013LouisvilleMichigan
2012KentuckyKansas
2011ConnecticutButler
2010DukeButler
2009North CarolinaMichigan State
2008KansasMemphis
2007FloridaOhio State
2006FloridaUCLA
2005North CarolinaIllinois
2004ConnecticutGeorgia Tech
2003SyracuseKansas
2002MarylandIndiana
2001DukeArizona
2000Michigan StateFlorida