Denver Broncos (+3.5) (+109) @ Carolina Panthers
December 13th, 1:00pm, Bank of America Stadium
I doubt that anybody is particularly excited about this upcoming game. Neither team is particularly great at scoring the football, and multiple Panthers’ players have been hit with COVID-19, including crucial playmakers on offense, DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel.
The Denver Broncos are coming off a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in a low-scoring game. The Chiefs have the best offense in the league, so I’m more than comfortable betting on the UNDER this week. The OVER has cashed just once in the Broncos’ last five games and only once in their previous six games against an NFC opponent.
The Broncos average the second-least points per game at just 18.8. The Panthers are better at 23.3, but they’ll struggle to put up points without some of their key offensive players.
Pick: Game Total Points Under 46.5 (-112) (888sport)
Indianapolis Colts @ Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5) (-112)
December 13th, 4:05pm, Allegiant Stadium
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a win against the Houston Texans in Week 13 and have been one of the better AFC teams this season. They’re fighting for a playoff spot, but so are the Las Vegas Raiders, who, if not for a defensive blunder by the New York Jets last week, would be riding a three-game losing streak.
Based on everything that I’ve seen this season from both teams, the Colts should walk away with the victory, but I like the Raiders to pull off the upset at home. Derek Carr bounced back from an atrocious performance in Week 12 with a steller one in Week 13 where he threw for 381 yards and three touchdowns, plus one rushing touchdown.
The Colts’ are not the Jets, though. It’ll be difficult for Carr to replicate his performance against one of the better defensive units in the league, but he’s got a greater chance at blowing up than Philip Rivers. Rivers has played consistently well in his first season for the Colts but has become more of a game-manager.
It’s a risky play because the Colts are a more sound football team than the Raiders, but I like the value for the home team on the moneyline.
Pick: Las Vegas Raider To Win Moneyline (+126) (888sport)
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (- 6.5) (-112)
November 13th, 1:00pm, Raymond James Stadium
I’m not one of those Tom Brady/Tampa Bay/Super Bowl-in-the-first-year believers. The Buccaneers have underwhelmed throughout several points this season, having been exposed on defense on numerous occasions.
But the Minnesota Vikings are not a real contender. They rely on the run game more than any other team and will face off against the number-one ranked rushing defense. Dalvin Cook has been the best running back this year, but I think he’ll finally get clamped this weekend, after which the Vikings will be forced to throw more since they’ll fall behind early.
The Buccaneers are also coming off a much-needed bye and will be locked and loaded against a putrid Minnesota secondary that’s allowing 261.7 passing yards per game. On the betting side, Tampa has the edge on Minnesota SU, going 7-3 in their last ten meetings.
Vikes come tumbling back down to earth this weekend.
Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 (-109) (888sport)
Two out of three is good, but not good enough. This week we’re aiming for a perfect 3-0 record. Our parlay includes a low-scoring game between the Panthers and Broncos, a Raiders upset over the Colts, and a -6.5-point spread the rested Buccaneers should cover against an overrated Vikings team.
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