Free Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Jordan Horrobin
By: Jordan Horrobin
12/13/2020
NFL Free Picks - Best Bets of the Week
Colts at Raiders NFL Week 14
Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders, Allegiant Stadium

Both Indianapolis and Law Vegas are coming off one-score wins over lesser opponents. Now, the pair of playoff hopefuls have a chance to put their stamp on a statement win with serious playoff implications. In the tale of two backfields, the Colts appear to have multiple running backs to deploy at any moment — while the Raiders are in desperate, wait-and-see mode on the health status of bellcow Josh Jacobs.

Can Philip Rivers find new results vs. Raiders with his new team?

As a longtime member of the San Diego/Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West, Philip Rivers has built up about 15 years worth of experience against the Oakland/Las Vegas Raiders (that’s right, he’s been around so long that both of those teams have since relocated). The results have been mostly good for Rivers: 18-10 record, 47 touchdowns, 22 interceptions, 253.7 yards/game.

Recent results are more telling, though, and last year was a struggle for him during the final seaosn of his Chargers tenure: 0-2 record, two touchdowns, three interceptions, 243 yards/game. With his new team, Rivers is certainly hoping for a better result.

What he has in Indianapolis that wasn’t always present with the Chargers is an offensive line that excels at run blocking and a talented stable of running backs. Rookie Jonathan Taylor brings the power, Nyheim Hines adds shiftiness as a pass catcher and Jordan Wilkins fills in the gaps when the other two need a breather. If the Colts have their way, they’ll grind out a win on the ground.

Las Vegas wouldn’t mind a similar strategy with Josh Jacobs, who posted over 1,300 scrimmage yards as a rookie last season. But Jacobs’ status is in question after he missed last week with an ankle injury — and then missed Wednesday’s practice. His status later in the week will surely affect the betting odds.

Without Jacobs, the Raiders struggled in a narrow victory over the Jets. Really, they would’ve lost if not for an absurd blown coverage on a Hail Mary in the game’s final seconds. Their rushing “attack” was no attack at all, gaining just 72 yards on 25 carries.

The Colts — who are 3-point favorites (-106 at 888Sport) — covered their past four spreads as road favorites, and with big questions surrounding Jacobs’ health, we like their chances to keep that going.

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FREE PICK: COLTS TO COVER -3
-106

Stats

  • Indianapolis is 6-4 ATS in its past 10
  • The OVER has cashed in six of the Colts’ past 10 games
  • Las Vegas is 5-5 ATS in its past 10 games
  • The OVER has cashed in six of the Raiders’ past 10 games

Jordan Horrobin is a freelance sports journalist based in Toronto, Ontario, who enjoys sports-related research and telling engaging stories. His work can also be found at Sportsnet, Forbes and elsewhere. Though he abandoned most of his team-specific fandoms in the interest of unbiased analysis, Jordan roots hard for his fantasy football/hockey teams (and he's a complete homer for all things Ohio University).

NFC Standings

TeamWLPCT
1Packers1340.765
2Buccaneers1340.765
3Cowboys1250.706
4Rams1250.706
5Cardinals1160.647
649ers1070.588
7Eagles980.529
8Saints980.529

 

AFC Standings

TeamWLPCT
1Titans1250.706
2Chiefs1250.706
3Bill1160.647
4Bengals1070.588
5Patriots1070.588
6Chargers970.563
7Raiders970.563
8Steelers970.559

Key Dates

2021-22 Season
Training camps beginJuly 27
Preseason debutAugust 12
Regular season beginsSeptember 9
Trading deadlineNovember 2
Regular season endsJanuary 9
Wild CardJanuary 15
Divisional RoundJanuary 22
Conference ChampionshipJanuary 30
Pro BowlFebruary 6
Super BowlFebruary 13