Free Picks: Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers have been stumbling as of late after a dominant start to the 2020 season, but they should get back on track here against the pitiful Cincinnati Bengals.  888sport has the Steelers as -11.5 (110) road favourites.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off their second consecutive loss after beginning the season 12-0.  The Buffalo Bills are a tough team, so we can’t blame them for laying one against them.  They still have a firm lead in their division, and this week they draw the lowly Cincinnati Bengals, who have won just twice all season.

Losing Joe Burrow was huge for the Bengals, as the rookie was doing all that he could to elevate the Bengals.  Backup quarterback Brandon Allen had a decent game against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 14, where he threw for 217 yards and a touchdown, but he left the game with an injury.  He is allegedly going to be good to go against the Steelers, but if he isn’t, it means that third-stringer Ryan Findley will step in.

The Bengals’ main problem has seemingly forever been in their offensive line, which ranks 27^th in pass block win rate.  The Steelers are the number one team in pass rush win rate, which means that whoever plays quarterback for the Bengals will have a long day.

The Bengals have not won a single game in their last ten meetings with the Steelers, who are capable of scoring points, but their prowess this season has been mostly on the defensive side of things. I’m not saying that they won’t blowout this awful Bengals team, but I see the Bengals struggling to score.

888sport has the OVER/UNDER set at 40, which is embarrassingly low, but the odds offer decent value, and it’s totally feasible that we could end up with a final score to the effect of 28-3 or even 7 for the Bengals.

• Pittsburgh is 11-2 in their last 13 games
• The UNDER has cashed in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games
• Cincinnati is 0-7 in their last 7 games at home against Pittsburgh
• The UNDER has cashed in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games