Free Picks: Lightning vs. Hurricanes, 2021 Stanley Cup Round 2

Patrick Trudeau
By: Patrick Trudeau
05/30/2021
NHL Free Picks – Best Bets of the Week
Hurricanes vs Lightning Playoffs Round 2
Lightning vs. Hurricanes, Round 2, Lightning wins series 4-1

The Lightning win their division as they take down the Carolina Hurricanes in just 5 games, moving on to the winner of the Bruins and Islanders.

Series Results: Lightning wins series 4-1

The defending champions move on!

Tampa Bay made quick work of the Carolina Hurricanes, disposing of them in 5 games. After losing Game 2, the Lightning would win three straight to drop Carolina, which included a huge comeback win in Game 4.

While the Lightning’s offense was held to just 2 goals in 4 of 5 games, their defense was tremendous as they terrorized the Hurricanes for the entire series. The Hurricanes were able to muster 2 or more goals in only 2 games in the second round.

Tampa Bay now awaits the winner of New York and Boston, with the Islanders currently leading 3-2.

Game 1

May 30, 05:00 p.m., PNC Arena

We’re onto the second round as both the Tampa Bay Lightning and Carolina Hurricanes disposed of their first-round opponents in 6 games.

The regular season doesn’t mean anything once you are playing playoff hockey, but it’s still valuable to look back at the regular season in head-to-head match ups. This season, the Lightning were 4-3-1 against the Hurricanes – do I smell a future game 7 between these teams?

Despite being the better team standings-wise in the regular season, the Hurricanes are listed at +115(Betway) to win this series outright.

Turning attention to game 1 of this series, I think taking a look at the total goals will be one of your best bets for today. While I normally like to wager on the over, it’s opposite day. The current over/under is listed at 5.5 and I am all in on the under.

As we know, 3-2 is the most common final score in the history of the sport. Add in that Tampa Bay and Carolina both ranked high in goals against during the regular season and I am all for a low-scoring game to open the series. The odds at listed at +100(Betway) so we should see some decent return as well.

For the winner straight up, both teams are listed at -110. I think this will be an even series and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it go the distance. Carolina and Tampa Bay both have outmatched each other on certain occasions, so this is up in the air.

I think taking the Hurricanes at home will be smart. Carolina is undefeated at home in the playoffs this season, so Tampa Bay will need to enter a nasty environment for away teams.

Dare I say, but the winner of this series may make an appearance in the Stanley Cup finals. I might be getting too far ahead of myself, but it’s evident the impact these teams had on Stanley Cup odds.

Game 1 is upcoming and I think the Hurricanes start off hot.

BET ON CAROLINA TO WIN

 

Game 2

June 1, 07:30 p.m., PNC Arena

It’s a shame that the Carolina Hurricanes and Tampa Bay Lightning are meeting in the second round of the NHL Playoffs. It’s clear that these two teams are destined for success, but one team will be eliminated after this round.

Entering Game 2, the Lightning have a 1-0 series lead on Carolina and could do significant damage with another victory on the road. The Hurricanes’ sole purpose of this game is to even the series, any way possible.

Despite losing Game 1, I think there are a few positives that benefit the Hurricanes. Carolina through a significant number of shots towards the Lightning net. With only 1 goal allowed, how long can Tampa Bay bend without breaking?

The other positive is that Tampa Bay tallied 5 penalties compared to Carolina’s 3. If the Lightning are undisciplined in Game 2 as well, expect Carolina to bounce back. Power Plays were key for both teams as two of the three goals scored in the game were on the man advantage.

For this BetPicks Prediction, I think taking the over in total goals will be the play. Both Carolina and Tampa Bay peppered the goal to open the series. If both goalies don’t stand tall, the over will easily cash. 10Bet has an alternate over/under of 4.5 -215 and while I think the value and return is low, I am confident this bet cashes.

As for the winner straight up, I think for this Stanley Cup playoffs prediction I would side with Carolina. I like how offensive-minded they were in the first game. If they continue to create chances like they did (and Tampa Bay takes penalties) we could see an even series entering Game 3.

The Lighting could change the outlook of the series with a win, but I think the Hurricanes battle back in Game 2.

BET ON CAROLINA TO WIN

Game 3 (Lightning leads series 2-0)

June 3, 08:00 p.m., Amalie Arena

Is it time to panic in Carolina?

The Hurricanes have been dominating the Tampa Bay Lightning in the shot category and all they have to show for it is a deficit in their second-round match up. With 2 losses, the Hurricanes are close to being eliminated from the NHL Playoffs.

It doesn’t bode well for the Hurricanes as the series shifts back to Tampa Bay. However, the Hurricanes are experienced in knowing that a 2-0 series lead can easily be washed away.

Entering Game 3, the Hurricanes are the underdogs at +135 (888Sport). With how much offense the Hurricanes are producing, I think we still ride with Carolina for this game. Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a brick wall in the blue paint, but every goalie has an off-game. Carolina is firing on all cylinders and right now, Vasilevskiy has held his ground. But how long can we expect him to limit the Hurricanes?

Straight up, I think taking the Hurricanes on the ML will be your best NHL bet for this game. I know it’s bold and the Lightning are up 2-0, but you can’t discredit how well Carolina is playing. If the Hurricanes manage to lose this game, I think it’s the end of their Stanley Cup run. But if they steal a victory, the fire will be lit under Carolina.

For an alternate bet, taking the under for total goals would be my expert NHL pick. Vasilevskiy has stood tall in the playoffs and even Tampa Bay’s elite offense has been held to only 2 goals in both games. Carolina has been solid on defense but Vasilevskiy has been dominant in the blue paint. The over/under is 5.5 and I think the under –135 (888Sport) is your best choice for this BetPicks Prediction.

Straight up, I think the Hurricanes can win if they finally break Vasilevskiy. If not, they’ll be down 3-0 in the series.

BET ON CAROLINA

Game 4 (Lightning lead series 2-1)

June 5, 04:00 p.m., Amalie Arena

Does Carolina have the momentum?

The Carolina Hurricanes desperately needed a win against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Heading to Florida down 2-0, the Hurricanes could not afford another loss.

Thankfully for the Hurricanes, they managed to escape with victory in OT to cut the deficit in the series down to 2-1. Now, the Hurricanes face another tough challenge as they aim to go home tied 2-2.

For this BetPicks Prediction, I think the wager that makes the most sense will be total goals. Currently, both the Lightning and Hurricanes are playing tight defense and I think that greatly benefits the under.

The over/under is listed at 5.5 (Betway). While the return of the under cashing at –134 isn’t dazzling, I think this wager makes the most sense.

So far, every game has been decided by 1 goal. Also, every game has not surpassed 5 total goals, so I am confident that this wager cashes.

Of course, we’re all concerned about the winner for this free NHL pick and I think the move is the Lightning ML. Tampa Bay are obvious favorites at –160 and I think selecting the Lightning straight up would be the play.

While the Hurricanes were able to steal a victory on the road, the Lightning are still at home and I think they are the better team.

Carolina is also dealing with injuries to key players, like Nino Niederreiter and Vincent Trocheck, so I think the team as a whole is playing on borrowed time in the NHL playoffs.

Tampa Bay is basically running full-steam ahead. It will take a mighty effort to bring down the champs. With that being said, I don’t see the Lightning losing this game at home.

BET ON TAMPA BAY TO WIN

Game 5 (Lightning leads series 3-1)

June 8, 08:30 p.m., PNC Arena

Is this the end of the road for Carolina?

Down 3-1, the Carolina Hurricanes look to stay alive when they return home against the Tampa Bay Lightning. One more loss would end the Hurricanes’ season, while the Lightning would move onto the third round.

Game 4 was high-scoring as 10 goals were scored in the contest. Carolina held a 4-2 lead, but it would be the Lightning taking home the victory.

I think for this BetPicks Prediction, it’s time to side with the Tampa Bay Lightning. Carolina is battling a number of injuries and I am unsure how much they have left in the tank.

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that the Lightning are the favorites, currently listed at -125 (10Bet) and I would take the Lightning straight up for this NHL prediction. I love Carolina’s heart and think their time will come, but I think their run in the playoffs will conclude in Game 5.

Another bet I am confident in is the Lightning team’s total goals. With this being a game of desperation, I could see Carolina becoming sloppy late. If the Lightning hold a one-or-two goal lead, the Hurricanes will need to empty the net in an effort to save the season.

I would recommend Tampa Bay goals OVER 3.5  (+190, 10Bet) because I think it is an obtainable mark and the value is on par.

Tampa Bay has scored only 2 goals in 75% of this series, but I think their 6-goal performance was a potential breakthrough. With such desperation on both sides, I could see this being another high-scoring affair.

The Lightning have an opportunity to end the series on the road. Overall, Tampa Bay has been a dominant team away from Amalie Arena and I think Tampa Bay drops the Hurricanes, ending the series 4-1.

BET ON TAMPA BAY TO WIN

have always wanted to be a writer and sports are my favorite thing in the world, so I combined the two to make a career. I have been a long-time gambler and sports betting writer that isn't afraid to look at the underdog or specials. I am covering the NHL, MLB and NCAA Football for BetPicks.ca and am a huge fan of both sports - as well as many others. Follow me on Twitter (@Patrick_Trudeau) so we can talk betting, sports, or why ketchup DOES belong on Poutine.

NHL Eastern Metropolitan

 

TeamWLOT%
1Carolina54208.707
2NY Rangers52246.671
3Pittsburgh462511.628
4Washington442612.610
5NY Islanders373510.512
6Columbus37387.494
7New Jersey27469.384
8Philadelphia254611.372

 

NHL Eastern Atlantic

TeamWLOT%
1Florida58186.744
2Toronto54217.701
3Tampa Bay51238.671
4Boston51265.652
5Buffalo323911.457
6Detroit324010.451
7Ottawa33427.445
8Montréal224911.335

 

NHL - Western Central

TeamWLOT%
1Colorado56197.726
2Minnesota53227.689
3St Louis492211.665
4Dallas46306.598
5Nashville45307.591
6Winnipeg393211.543
7Chicago284212.415
8Arizona25507.348

 

NHL - Western Pacific

TeamWLOT%
1Calgary502111.677
2Edmonton49276.634
3Los Angeles442711.604
4Vegas43318.573
5Vancouver403012.561
6San Jose323713.470
7Anaheim313714.463
8Seattle27496.366

 

2021-22 Season
Regular season beginsOctober 12
All-Star & Winter Games breakFebruary 3-22
Trade deadlineMarch 21
Final day of regular seasonApril 29
Stanley Cup Playoffs beginMay 2
Last possible day for PlayoffsJune 30
2022 NHL DraftJuly 7